5 Reasons it’s Time for a Home in 2012

February 29, 2012

It’s true that money can’t buy happiness, but knowing that the value of your assets will grow over time does give you peace of mind.

Negative press is leaving some home buyers stuck on the fence, but here are a few reasons to climb down.

1. In the long run you come out ahead; in the short run you enjoy your home. The paper value of your home won’t rise much in the next couple of years. But if you want a home where you can raise your children or retire for the rest of your life, the paper value will rise significantly, or probably double or triple during that time.

2. The recent survey by the Hartford/MIT Lab’s Home for a Lifetime survey shows that half of all homeowners prefer their current home for retirement. Another 10 percent may choose to retire there, but aren’t yet sure.

3. A home is like a savings account. Your initial costs of home buying will come back to you many times over during the life of your mortgage. Your stake in the home builds every month. You’ll have more than rent receipts in the future.

4. Mortgage payments are fixed; rental payments rise. On a fixed-rate mortgage, you know what your payment will be each month for years to come. (As inflation rises, you’ll be making those payments with less expensive dollars.)

5. Apartment rents through the third quarter of 2010 were up 2.4 percent nationwide for the year and up twice that amount in larger cities. Nice apartments were hard to find because the national vacancy rate is the lowest since 2006, according to a study by real estate research firm Reis, Inc.

There are many more reasons for having a home of your own, reasons that have little to do with the financial aspects.

Stability and community. You get to know the neighbors. Your kids won’t have to change schools. They can keep their friends. You get to know their teachers and which parks, neighborhood facilities and merchants are best for you. Studies show that as people develop positive relationships with neighbors, they have more happiness and less stress.

You get to be the boss. Dealing with a landlord and negotiating repairs are hassles you won’t have to deal with. As the boss of your own place, you can paint, renovate and redecorate as much as you want and in any color or style you want.

This Week’s Market Commentary

February 27, 2012

This week brings us the release of six economic reports to be concerned with in addition to some very important testimony from Fed Chairman Bernanke.

One of the reports is considered to be very important, but nearly all of the week’s releases have the potential to affect mortgage rates. There is nothing of relevance scheduled for release tomorrow or Friday, so the middle part of the week should be extremely active for mortgage rates.

The week’s first piece of data is January’s Durable Goods Orders data early Tuesday morning. It gives us an important measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders at U.S. factories for items expected to last three or more years. A larger decline than the 1.3% that is expected would be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates as it would point towards manufacturing sector weakness. This data is known to be quite volatile from month-to-month, so large swings are fairly normal. A small variance from forecasts would not be a big deal.

Tuesday also brings us the release of February’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) during late morning trading. This Conference Board index measures consumer confidence in their personal financial situations, giving us a measurement of consumer willingness to spend. If consumers are feeling good about their own financial situations, they are more apt to make large purchases in the near future. Since consumer spending makes up over two-thirds of the economy, related data is considered important in terms of gauging economic activity. It is expected to show an increase in confidence from 61.1 in January to 62.5 this month. A lower reading would be considered good news for bonds and mortgage rates since it would indicate consumers are less likely to make a large purchase in the near future.

The first of two revisions to the 4th Quarter GDP reading is scheduled for release Wednesday morning. Analysts’ forecasts currently call for an annual rate of growth of 2.8%, matching the initial estimate that was posted last month. It will be interesting to see where this figure falls and what its impact on the markets will be. Generally speaking, higher levels of activity are bad news for the bond market, while a sizable downward revision would be good news and could lead to improvements in mortgage pricing.

Fed Chairman Bernanke will deliver the Fed’s semi-annual testimony on the status of the economy late Wednesday and Thursday mornings. He will be speaking to the House Financial Services Committee Wednesday and the Senate Banking Committee Thursday morning. Market participants will watch his words very closely. He is required to deliver this testimony twice a year, which is considered to be of extreme importance to the financial markets. We almost always see the markets move as a result of what he says during this testimony. Look for him to address the unemployment and housing sectors along with Europe’s financial issues specifically and their impact on the overall economy. His testimony begins at 10:00 AM ET with a prepared statement then is followed by Q & A with committee members. I am expecting to see the markets fluctuate during this session, possibly affecting mortgage rates also.

The Fed Beige Book is the next report scheduled for release and it will be posted Wednesday afternoon. This report details economic activity throughout the country by Fed region. The Fed relies heavily on this data during their FOMC meetings, so look for a potential reaction during afternoon trading Wednesday. It probably will not cause a major sell off in the stock or bond markets, partly because Mr. Bernanke will have access to this info when testifying to Congress. However, it could give us some finer details that we won’t hear directly from Chairman Bernanke, so it is worth looking at.

January’s Personal Income and Outlays data will be released at 8:30 AM ET Thursday, which gives us an indication of consumer ability to spend and current spending habits. Current forecasts call for an increase in income of 0.4% while spending is expected to rise 0.3%. A larger than expected increase in spending would be bad news for the bond market and could drive mortgage rates higher because it would mean consumers spent more than thought. Since consumer spending makes up over two-thirds of the U.S. economy, the bond market does better when spending is slowing. Good news would be a smaller than expected increase, or better yet, a decline in both readings.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release their manufacturing index for February late Thursday morning. This index measures manufacturer sentiment and can have a pretty large impact on the financial and mortgage markets if it varies from forecasts. It is expected to show a small increase from January’s 54.1 to 54.5 this month. This is important because a reading above 50.0 means more surveyed manufacturers felt business improved during the month than those who felt it had worsened, meaning growth is likely in the manufacturing sector. If we see a weaker than expected reading, the bond market could rally. But, a higher than forecasted reading could lead to major selling in bonds, causing mortgage rates to rise Thursday morning.

Overall, look for a pretty active week for mortgage rates. Wednesday will likely be the biggest day of the week, but Tuesday may also bring noticeable movement in mortgage rates. The least important day will probably end up being tomorrow or Friday unless stocks stage a significant rally or sell-off. However, we may see movement in rates several days this week, so please maintain contact with your mortgage professional if still floating an interest rate.

This Week’s Market Commentary

February 21, 2012

This week brings us the release of only three pieces of economic data for the bond market to digest along with two potentially influential Treasury auctions. The financial markets will be closed tomorrow in observance of the President’s Day holiday, so don’t expect to see new mortgage pricing until Tuesday morning. Due to the holiday, we will not be updating our report tomorrow.

The National Association of Realtors will post January’s Existing Home Sales report late Wednesday morning. It tracks home resales throughout the country, giving us a measurement of housing sector strength. It is expected to show a small increase in sales of existing homes, meaning the housing sector remained strengthened during the month. Ideally, the bond market would like to see a sizable decline in sales because weak housing is one of the hurdles that the economy must overcome to recover from the recession.

The longer it takes for the housing market to recover, the longer it will take the economy to do the same.

In addition to this week’s economic reports, there are two relatively important Treasury auctions that may also influence bond trading enough to affect mortgage rates. There will be an auction of 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes on Thursday. Neither of these sales will directly impact mortgage pricing, but they can influence general bond market sentiment. If the sales go poorly, we could see broader selling in the bond market that leads to upward revisions to mortgage rates. However, strong sales usually make bonds more attractive to investors and bring more funds into bonds. The buying of bonds that follows usually translates into lower mortgage rates.

Friday has two reports, the first being the University of Michigan’s revision to their Index of Consumer Sentiment for February. Current forecasts show this index rising a little from its preliminary estimate of 72.5. This index is fairly important because it helps us measure consumer confidence that translates into consumer willingness to spend, but is not considered to be a major market mover. This means it will probably not have a significant impact on mortgage rates.

The last piece of data scheduled for release this week is January’s New Home Sales report at 10:00 AM ET Friday morning. This is the least important report of the week, and is the sister report to Wednesday’s Existing Home Sales. They measure housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but usually do not have a significant impact on bond trading or mortgage rates unless they show significant surprises. This report is also expected to show an increase in sales.

Overall, this week is lighter than last week in terms of economic releases. Therefore, it would not be surprising to see a fairly calm week in mortgage rates, or at least less movement than last week. However, news from overseas and stock movement could also heavily influence trading and mortgage rates. I think we will see the most movement either Wednesday or Friday, buy any day could turn active if stocks rally or sink.
Despite the relatively light calendar this week, it would be prudent to maintain contact with your mortgage professional if still floating an interest rate.

Speed-Cleaning Your Kitchen

There are many shortcuts and extra efficient methods of keeping your kitchen spotless without spending too much time cleaning every day. This Real Simple magazine article recommends setting up three kitchen to-do lists: daily, weekly, and seasonally.

Daily chores include wiping down the sink, stovetop, counters, and sweep or vacuum the floor. They tally this up as taking 3 minutes and 30 seconds total.

Weekly, Real Simple recommends wiping down backsplashes, appliances, cabinets, garbage can, switchplates and phones. Also, one should mop weekly (about four minutes, the most time consuming of these quick tasks), and wash the dish rack. The weekly tasks add up to about 20 minutes.

Seasonal tasks include deep cleaning and scrubbing of the refrigerator, sink, and other appliances four times per year.

While cleaning isn’t everyone’s idea of fun, using these quick guidelines will decrease your cleaning time to minutes a day – the time it takes to brew your coffee.For motivation, Marla Cilley, author of Sink Reflections, recommended in the article to clean your sink first.

“A sparkling sink becomes your kitchen’s benchmark for hygiene and tidiness, inspiring you to load the dishwasher immediately and keep counters, refrigerator doors, and the stove top spick-and-span, too.”

Getting a Second Opinion on Your Home Financing

February 10, 2012

Your home purchase is one of the most important financial decisions of your lifetime.

Taking a few minutes to verify your existing lender’s offer in regards to loan structure, rates, and cost is time well spent.

The #1 reason that real estate transactions don’t close is due to financing issues, and transactions can fall apart very quickly.

Getting a second opinion is a win-win scenario. If Princeton Capital can provide a better loan value, you win. If we can’t, we can verify the validity of the other offer for you, and you win.

Contact Princeton Capital or your loan officer about it. We want you to realize the difference a second opinion can make for your home financing.